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Forwarded from The Paranormies Present (Alt Skull️)
The Scientific Method:

Core Steps of the Scientific Method

1. Observation and Question: Scientists observe a naturally occuring phenomenon and formulate specific questions about it.
2. Hypothesis Formation: Based on observations, scientists develop a testable hypothesis—a proposed explanation that makes specific predictions.
3. Experimentation: Scientists design and conduct controlled experiments to test the hypothesis, gathering empirical data.
4. Analysis and Conclusion: Scientists analyze the experimental data to determine whether it supports or refutes the hypothesis, and draw appropriate conclusions.
(5. Communication and Refinement: Scientists publish their findings for peer review, allowing others to replicate experiments and refine hypotheses through further testing.) <=Not really necessary imo. As the scientific method, if performed correctly, either proves or disproves something, definitively.

Components of a Well-Formed Hypothesis

A proper scientific hypothesis must be:

1. Falsifiable: Must be capable of being proven wrong through experimentation.
2. Precise: Must make specific predictions about what will happen under defined conditions.
3. Variable-Focused: Must clearly identify:

The independent variable (what the researcher manipulates or changes)
The dependent variable (what the researcher measures as a result)
The proposed relationship between these variables ("If X changes, then Y will respond in Z way")

4. Controllable: Must account for:

Control groups to provide a baseline comparison
Controlled variables (factors kept constant throughout the experiment)
Potential confounding variables that might affect results

5. Explanatory: Must propose a causal mechanism that explains the observed phenomenon.
6. Parsimonious: Should be the simplest explanation consistent with existing knowledge.

The identification of variables and controls is essential to proper experimental design and is foundational to the scientific method's ability to establish causation rather than merely correlation. Without these elements, a hypothesis lacks the structure needed for rigorous testing.

So in conclusion, most pseudoscientists fail to employ the scientific method in the second step (and often in the first step!!). If the independent variable does not exist or cannot be controlled and manipulated by the observer, then it isn’t following the scientific method!!

So there goes ALL of astronomy, astrophysics and theoretical physics. Oops!

@TheParanormiesPresent
@AltSkull48



tg-me.com/antiquitecharchive/8219
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The Scientific Method:

Core Steps of the Scientific Method

1. Observation and Question: Scientists observe a naturally occuring phenomenon and formulate specific questions about it.
2. Hypothesis Formation: Based on observations, scientists develop a testable hypothesis—a proposed explanation that makes specific predictions.
3. Experimentation: Scientists design and conduct controlled experiments to test the hypothesis, gathering empirical data.
4. Analysis and Conclusion: Scientists analyze the experimental data to determine whether it supports or refutes the hypothesis, and draw appropriate conclusions.
(5. Communication and Refinement: Scientists publish their findings for peer review, allowing others to replicate experiments and refine hypotheses through further testing.) <=Not really necessary imo. As the scientific method, if performed correctly, either proves or disproves something, definitively.

Components of a Well-Formed Hypothesis

A proper scientific hypothesis must be:

1. Falsifiable: Must be capable of being proven wrong through experimentation.
2. Precise: Must make specific predictions about what will happen under defined conditions.
3. Variable-Focused: Must clearly identify:

The independent variable (what the researcher manipulates or changes)
The dependent variable (what the researcher measures as a result)
The proposed relationship between these variables ("If X changes, then Y will respond in Z way")

4. Controllable: Must account for:

Control groups to provide a baseline comparison
Controlled variables (factors kept constant throughout the experiment)
Potential confounding variables that might affect results

5. Explanatory: Must propose a causal mechanism that explains the observed phenomenon.
6. Parsimonious: Should be the simplest explanation consistent with existing knowledge.

The identification of variables and controls is essential to proper experimental design and is foundational to the scientific method's ability to establish causation rather than merely correlation. Without these elements, a hypothesis lacks the structure needed for rigorous testing.

So in conclusion, most pseudoscientists fail to employ the scientific method in the second step (and often in the first step!!). If the independent variable does not exist or cannot be controlled and manipulated by the observer, then it isn’t following the scientific method!!

So there goes ALL of astronomy, astrophysics and theoretical physics. Oops!

@TheParanormiesPresent
@AltSkull48

BY Andrew's Research Channel


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Spiking bond yields driving sharp losses in tech stocks

A spike in interest rates since the start of the year has accelerated a rotation out of high-growth technology stocks and into value stocks poised to benefit from a reopening of the economy. The Nasdaq has fallen more than 10% over the past month as the Dow has soared to record highs, with a spike in the 10-year US Treasury yield acting as the main catalyst. It recently surged to a cycle high of more than 1.60% after starting the year below 1%. But according to Jim Paulsen, the Leuthold Group's chief investment strategist, rising interest rates do not represent a long-term threat to the stock market. Paulsen expects the 10-year yield to cross 2% by the end of the year. A spike in interest rates and its impact on the stock market depends on the economic backdrop, according to Paulsen. Rising interest rates amid a strengthening economy "may prove no challenge at all for stocks," Paulsen said.

Launched in 2013, Telegram allows users to broadcast messages to a following via “channels”, or create public and private groups that are simple for others to access. Users can also send and receive large data files, including text and zip files, directly via the app.The platform said it has more than 500m active users, and topped 1bn downloads in August, according to data from SensorTower.Old World Research Channel from ms


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